Lesson 15: Basic Strategy Variations -
Double?
The opportunity to double your bet in return for
agreeing to accept only one more card is a very powerful option for the
player, if it's utilized correctly. I can't tell you how often I see
players double hands like 7 or 8 against a dealer's up card of 6 and
then bemoan their fate when they lose. Yes, the dealer is very
vulnerable with a 6 showing, but placing an extra bet changes the
mathematics of the hand, so all doubles must be well-considered. For
example, in a six-deck game where the dealer stands on A-6, doubling a
hand of 8 against the dealer's 6 has a total return of 10.3% whereas
just hitting the hand returns 12.3% and the risk is lower!
That said, there comes a time when it is
worthwhile to double an 8 against a dealer's 6 and that's when there's a
higher proportion than normal of 10s left in the deck. That point is
determined, of course, by the true count. As the true count gets more
positive, it becomes more profitable to double. Conversely, as the count
goes negative, it becomes a better play to hit some hands, rather than
double.
Just as you're using flashcards to learn the
hit/stand variations, make up, a set for doubling. Here are the numbers
you need:
Basic Strategy Variations Six decks, dealer stands on
A-6